Avenues for providing food for all, at a reasonable price
| 12 July 2011 |
The need for food at affordable prices has always been a vital concern.Attractive long-term investment opportunities resulting from human activity on Earth can be clustered into so-called "megatrends". Companies along the agricultural chain that will help produce enough food for world's population of 9.1 billion people in 2050 can be said to represent one of them. |
![]() By Gertjan van der GeerSenior Investment Manager Pictet-Agriculture |
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The need for food at affordable prices has always been a vital concern. It has often triggered immigration, revolution and war. Global food costs advancing to an all-time high last February - according to the measures of the United Nation's Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) - served as a catalyst to the Tunisian revolution. |
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By financing operations in various agricultural fields, investors contribute to transforming our lives across the globe, as well as our eating habits. |
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Today, for the first time since the first Green Revolution, growth of crop yields has slowed to an inferior rate than population growth. While yields of wheat crops, for example, grew at 3% annually between 1961 and 1990 and to 0.5% between 1990 and 2007, the average population growth during these periods was 1.8% and 1.4%, respectively. As the recent special report on "feeding the world" by The Economist states, worldwide use of fertilizers and other inputs may have been scaled back in recent years, which would explain the slowdown. Farmers favouring quality such as more nutritious crops at the expense of quantity is part of the story. Also, farmers may find value in satisfying demand for organic foods. |
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